In the past twelve months, Zynga Inc has struggled with a contracting player base, a deflated stock price and waves of layoffs. Now it is coming to terms with downsized ambitions.
As Chief Executive Mark Pincus, 47, leads the online games developer he founded in 2007 through perhaps the most crucial year of his tenure, he is pushing to restore revenues by doubling down on “FarmVille,” the franchise that took Facebook users by storm four years ago and launched Zynga to stardom.
Though some industry observers had declared farm simulation games a fad and predicted FarmVille 2's early demise, the sequel to Zynga's best-known title has defied expectations at its San Francisco headquarters, Pincus said in an interview. FarmVille 2 has clung to its perch near the top of Facebook charts and the number of people who play the game each day still hovers near all-time highs of 8 million, even six months after launch.
Given a glaring weakness in mobile games, however, one of Zynga's current priorities is porting FarmVille 2 to mobile devices so players can move from PCs to smartphones and back without losing their data. That presented technical challenges that the company is ironing out, Pincus said.
“The ideal is to make that one seamless experience between Web and mobile so you can take your farming experience from work to home,” Pincus said. “We're having to retool and reinvent around our process and technology.”
Pincus badly needs a reliable hit franchise. In the past nine months, Zynga has shuttered 20 titles and closed offices in Baltimore, Boston and Tokyo. It has trimmed 5 percent of its workforce, though its headcount of nearly 3,000 still dwarfs that of fierce rivals like Supercell, a Finnish company with 100 people that claims an equivalent amount of revenue, or the 600-strong Rovio, the publisher behind the “Angry Birds” games.
Gone is the swagger that defined the early years, when Zynga's army of developers flooded the market with dozens of new titles from cooking games to bingo variations, its dealmakers splashed money to snap up smaller rivals, and its managers opened studios in cities around the world.
Wall Street is viewing Pincus' shift with cautious approval, having been singed by Zynga's abysmal stock performance – an 80 percent decline over the past year that began around the time it invested $180 million in then-promising game studio OMGPOP.
“Certainly their shareholder base wants to see more discipline,” said Sean McGowan, an analyst at Needham and Co. “When you have limited resources, it makes sense to start with a proven winner, then expand that franchise. But it needs to be a blend of sticking with the proven brands and realizing when people might say: 'FarmVille 4? No, I'm done with that.'”
Investors place much stock on Zynga's future prospects in Internet gambling, because of its massive poker-playing community and existing game software. But with meaningful income from real-money casino efforts likely to be months, if not years, away, it may have to risk “sequelitis” for now.
Almost 18 months after going public, Zynga is staving off fierce competition from newer or nimbler rivals that mimic its games.
Zynga is betting on Farmville
Supercell, founded in 2010, has scored with “Hay Day,” an iPad game that contains elements resembling FarmVille. With just one other game under its belt, Supercell says it is on track to make more than $800 million in revenue this year, roughly equal to the $860 million that Wall Street expects from Zynga in 2013.
Veteran video games publisher Electronic Arts Inc , one of Zynga's earliest rivals, in recent weeks said it would lay off an undisclosed number of employees and focus on core franchises like Battlefield and sports titles.
Activision Blizzard Inc , another publishing heavyweight, has fared better thanks to the strength of series like “Call of Duty,” which has brought in more than $8 billion in cumulative sales since the first title launched in 2003. Yet even Activision is struggling to sustain revenue growth.
Zynga's bottom-line could be shored up through a more streamlined pipeline, Pincus argued. Since FarmVille first launched, it has gradually honed its development process to reduce the resources and development costs required for each significant update by more than 80 percent, he said.
“As long as our players are interested in farming, we'll offer a Farmville,” Pincus said. “It could be the Seinfeld of our era in gaming, a multi-season show that has a quality and a consistency that you can rely on.”
Zynga declined to address its game pipeline. Bing Gordon, an investor at venture capital firm Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers and a Zynga board member, said he has repeatedly nudged the company to develop FarmVille 3.
“Coca Cola has learned not to change their formula,” said Gordon, a game industry veteran who formerly served as chief creative officer at Electronic Arts. “If you've got something people want, keep doing it.”
Even as Zynga seeks greater efficiency, it acknowledges it has been pressed to invest more to stay competitive.
At the heart of the company's strategy has been its “bold beat” schedule, a roadmap first laid out by Pincus in 2009 to release significant upgrades and new features to games every quarter to keep players hooked.
Once criticized in the industry for low-quality graphics and rudimentary gameplay, the company's latest launches and “bold beats” have placed a greater emphasis on elements like visuals that were once considered superfluous, game designers said.
“Player expectations are higher than they used to be,” said Zynga Senior Vice President Todd Arnold, who overseas FarmVille and FarmVille 2. “You're not able to launch a minimalist product as we used to be able to.”
For its leading franchises, the company is also investing more in quantitative and analytical tools. Every week, it shuttles players into a room deep inside its offices, where they are shown minute new design features. Their reactions are recorded by video cameras as well as a team of game designers sitting behind a two-way mirror in an adjacent room.
The company also holds periodic panel discussions with its most loyal fans to solicit suggestions for new features.
Linda Zoccolli, a retired daycare business owner in Moraga, California, suggested at a session in March that water was too scarce a commodity in FarmVille 2. Weeks later, she noticed the game began to feature periodic rainfall.
She has spent three hours almost daily for the past eight months tending her plot but hasn't found it repetitive.
“As long as they come out with new quests, new items, it keeps it interesting,” she said.
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